ricardian ambivalence

Qld Coal country

In this post I look at the federal election results in Qld. I first look at the two-party-preferred swing, and then at the swing in the Labor primary vote. The closer a seat is to a coal mine (particularly Adani) the lower the ALP primary vote and the larger the 2pp swing to the LNP.


Mines, shy voters, and the 2019 Federal Election Puzzle

In this post i look at the relationship between the two party preferred swing to the LNP at the last election, and find that the location of mines may explain the strength of the swing. I speculate that shyness about views on mining and climate change may account for the fact that the polls didn’t detect the mood.