macro, politics, markets, ambivalence
In this post I look at the federal election results in Qld. I first look at the two-party-preferred swing, and then at the swing in the Labor primary vote. The closer a seat is to a coal mine (particularly Adani) the lower the ALP primary vote and the larger the 2pp swing to the LNP.
In this post i look at the relationship between the two party preferred swing to the LNP at the last election, and find that the location of mines may explain the strength of the swing. I speculate that shyness about views on mining and climate change may account for the fact that the polls didn’t detect the mood.
Taxes have been growing more quickly than income — so the tax share of the average person’s income has gone up sharply. In this post I lay out the facts about the income tax debate. It’s most about returning bracket creep, and stabilising the tax share of GDP.
Like most Australians, I have in recent times voted above the line in the senate — after all the ballots
The September RBA meeting is unlikely to be a big event. While i am sure that Gov Stevens still believes
Last night’s ‘economic debate’ on QnA was a fairly partisan affair, with the crowd cheering even the lamest lines from
My friend Chris Joye has been writing for the AFR for about a year, and has just had his first
I could fairly be accused of a little recent pessimism about the outlook for the Australian economy. Today, I want to
The Australian reports that WA Premier Colin Barnett just called the end of the Iron Ore boom — fresh off
Ricardo’s recent post on Government debt led into a very interesting debate about the merits of the NBN project. I
There was a bit of confusion about the path of debt subject to the legislative ceiling of AUD300bn following the
In Treasury Secretary Parkinson’s post budget speech to the ABE, there is a flight of carbon-price fancy that made me
ricardian ambivalence 