House Prices slow

Looking through the April RPdata house price pack (note i seasonally adjusted the prices myself), i was struck by the apparent slowdown in price growth.

Cap8Dwl

This is particularly surprising, as both the usual lags to monetary policy and microeconomic reform (which made it easier for foreigners to buy homes) suggested to me that prices ought to keep rising (as do auction results).

gp_DwlpxBar

Looking about the capitals, the issue seems to be falling prices in Brisbane.

gp_HousepxBar

This is mostly to do with falling house prices.

SydHouse

The appreciation of house prices in the major markets of Sydney (above) and Melbourne (below) has slowed, but given clearance rates i expect that prices will continue to rise.

MelbHouse

The apartment market is generally firm, reflecting rental yields that are similar to mortgage interest rates. There is, however, something very interesting happening in the Canberra apartment market – prices are plunging.

gp_UnitpxBar

My guess is that the public sector job losses, and expectations of more should the Government change, are weighing on prices.

canbUnit

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6 Responses to House Prices slow

  1. nottrampis says:

    as promised you are everywhere!

    I hope you get a lot of visitors.

  2. ssec says:

    Surprised? I am surprised that you are surprised. Some reminders :)

    http://www.macrobusiness.com.au/2013/05/data-points-to-new-houses-glut/

    http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/Latestproducts/5609.0Main%20Features2Feb%202013?opendocument&tabname=Summary&prodno=5609.0&issue=Feb%202013
    (Number of Owner Occupied Dwellings Financed Excluding Refinancing (Tables 1 & 2) is my preferred house price indicator)

  3. nottrampis says:

    David Glasner tells me he is getting 13-14 people from OZ looking at his articles.

    I am sure once people read you here your pageviews will spike, they should

  4. Katy says:

    The Canberra units slump is probably less about the Fed govt and more to do with the absolute glut of new units. Everyone in Canberra has seen this one coming for a while…and its only going to get worse as more units come onto the market.

  5. ssec says:

    These are the real auction results with most result included and unbiased:
    http://www.rs.realestate.com.au/cgi-bin/rsearch?a=ars
    They are published the following Friday.

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