economics – Page 8 – ricardian ambivalence

Gross flows in the April jobs report

When it comes to the labour market survey, I mostly focus on the rates: the unemployment rate (see here for

The April employment report has led the the predictable ‘we was robbed’ response from many of those who got the

With all the focus (and wound-licking) following the RBA, the trade data is a chance of being missed. This would

I hate being wrong, and I was wrong in size today — missing the RBA’s 13th rate cut since 2002.

The RBA meets for their regular monthly meeting tomorrow (on Tuesday 7 May), and the market is split evenly on

The April non-farm payrolls report surprised on the high side, with 165k jobs added (the bloomberg median forecast was +153k)

Looking through the April RPdata house price pack (note i seasonally adjusted the prices myself), i was struck by the

My judgement about the very short-term RBA outlook comes down to a judgement about the state of the Australian housing

Pity the fool that takes on Jim Hamilton. Jim had the good grace to publish Robert Pollin and Michael Ash’s

A key reason i do not think the RBA will ease their policy rate at their May meeting is that

Looking at the detail of Q1’13 CPI, inflation does look low — but CPI is very lagged to the cycle,

[note this is the third in a series looking at the indicators for Q1’13 Australian CPI: we have also looked