Tag Archives: AUD

Aussie GDP boom revised away

Posted on December 5, 2018 by

The annual revisions to GDP, and a weak 0.3%qoq in Q3 , mean that the GDP boom of H1’18 has been revised away.  The chart below shows what we thought was true (the red line) v. the new information (black … Continue reading →

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , | 2 Comments

RBA sets up for a cut …

Posted on December 4, 2014 by

The RBA has set things up to resume the easing cycle that began in 2011 (I never believed in the whole ‘neutral’ thing … see here).  My current view is that the RBA will cut by 50bps in 2015, taking their policy rate … Continue reading →

Posted in AUD, monetary policy, RBA | Tagged , | 56 Comments

Trimming is better (CPI edition)

Posted on July 25, 2013 by

There was some confusion about core CPI yesterday, thanks to the divergence between trimmed mean CPI & weighted median CPI . This is not surprising as they are fairly esoteric concepts. The bottom line is that the trimmed mean is … Continue reading →

Posted in AUD, economics, monetary policy | Tagged , , | 15 Comments

two cheers for a strong AUD

Posted on July 20, 2012 by

The reporting of recent AUD strength is getting a little unbalanced. See here for an example. This tone really gets to me. Movements in the foreign exchange value of the AUD (like movements in any relative price) create winners and … Continue reading →

Posted in AUD | Tagged | 32 Comments